How many times have we heard,
Conditions are just right for bla bla bla to happen next.
Finding relationships between some set of indicators and some type of event is a billion dollar industry. Predicting the future has always been worth much, with or without computer models and simulations.
If the type of event you are predicting involves much human behavior or systems whose primary actors are people, then do your methods of prediction and forecasting become invalid when to many individuals comprehend and act on it.
Like if we all knew the future or too many of us did, then that future would not happen?
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